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BusinessAnalysisPast Article

Payroll Is a Calendar

A small firm feels interest rates when wages are due, not when a columnist says money is tight.

By Diego Marro, Small Business Correspondent

New York1 min read

Stone arches in a historic building
Stone arches in a historic buildingPhoto by Fr. Daniel Ciucci on Unsplash

Payroll is a date. The money has to be in the account on that date, regardless of what the ten-year yield did in the morning. A rate story that forgets the calendar is writing about markets. A business story that forgets it is writing fiction.

Higher reference rates change the cost of carrying a balance and the willingness of a lender to extend one. They do not, by themselves, change a signed wage. The wage changes when the owner changes it, or when a contract says it changes.

The distinction worth keeping is between operating costs that are contractual and financing costs that reprice when the agreement says they reprice. A Fed decision hits the second on the agreement's schedule, not on the afternoon of the statement.

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