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Inflation Is a Rate of Change

A high price level is not the same object as a fast rise in the price level. The words get swapped on purpose.

By Helen Voss, Rates Columnist

Washington1 min read

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a rack of servers in a server roomPhoto by Kevin Ache on Unsplash

Inflation, in the statistical sense, is a percent change over a stated period. A price level is the index itself. Eggs can be expensive relative to 2019 while the index rises slowly this month. Both sentences can be true. They are answers to different questions.

The consumer price index answers the second question only after you compute a change. The level of the index is an input. Year-over-year inflation is the level divided by the level twelve months earlier, minus one.

Policy language often says inflation 'remains elevated' without printing the percent in the same sentence. The statement is a characterization. The index is the measurement. Quote both, and do not let the adjective replace the figure.

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